Fairly decent weekend. Partly cloudy skies both days but they tried to clear out for the most part by the afternoon. Hopefully you enjoyed it while it lasted…
Saturday – High 58°F, Low 42°F; Very few scattered showers here an there in the morning, but other than that, partly cloudy skies all day with breezy conditions in the morning and afternoon.
Sunday – High 62°F, Low 54°F; No showers this day, once again with partly cloudy skies. Winds were pretty breezy throughout the day.
Monday – High 78°F; Quite a bit warmer today, with breezy conditions and partly cloudy skies all day. A few trace showers in the morning, but that’s about it.
WARNINGS – At this point, we only have a Small Craft Advisory for all waterways. For more into, please see here.
The ridge that has built over us over the weekend will start to move east overnight, giving way to a sharp turn in the jet stream. The jet stream will proceed to park over us and spread out a little, bringing in cooler air as well. A small spur for the trough will cross over us overnight on Tuesday, where it could act as a small wave trough and bring in some rain, but we’ll see how that plays out. As we progress through the rest of the forecast, the cooler air to the north will try to move over us, but it won’t quite make it (although it will be cooler that day).
A very well defined front will swing in overnight and make landfall by Tuesday morning. That’s really the only thing to note from this model. It looks like there may be a weak front or two on Wednesday from a small pressure center (remember the small spur?) that is trying to be a big boy system but doesn’t quite have it all together.
We’ll stay dry overnight, but the cold front will bring in some showers for Tuesday. There doesn’t seem to be too much in the way of prefrontal precipitation, so we won’t really see anything until late morning/early afternoon. The Olympics will act as a barrier, provided a rain shadow to Kitsap and parts of central Sound, but no one else. Other than the mountains, hardest hit will be north Sound as there will be a little bit of a convergence zone forming. Most of the showers will dry out by Wednesday morning, and we’ll stay that way for most of Wednesday with a few scattered showers. By the end of the forecast another system will move in, bu the interior will be mostly spared from this one. The mountains will definitely get some, with some areas of north Sound getting some showers as well. Neither system shows potential for thunderstorms.
Both systems will bring in some light snow to both ranges, but not a whole lot. I won’t post the model, but I will include the 48hr totals below.
Clouds will be increasing overnight as the cold front moves in. The front is actually very well defined on the model, so that’s pretty neat. Once the front hits the Cascades it will stall and keep the clouds around. Some areas may see some clearing in the evening, mainly for south Sound. As the front finally pushes over the mountains, we’ll get a brief clearing overnight, but more clouds will be moving in from the coast. As the model is showing this next batch as fairly low (see them skirting the Olympics?), there may be some fog thrown in there for good measure. Or they could just be low clouds. Regardless, they’ll move in for the morning, and from there we’ll see mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies.
Here are the 24hr precipitation totals,
And here are the 48hr snowfall totals.
The winds will be on the variable side for the next couple of days. We’ll see winds start to pick up overnight, peaking by mid morning. Areas with the strongest winds will be over the water, Kitsap, and north Sound. We’ll see the winds start to calm as we progress through Tuesday, with the exception of the Strait and Kitsap. By the evening hours the interior will finally calm down, with the Strait still blowing around. We’ll stay this way until Wednesday afternoon where the winds will start to pick up for the entire Sound (especially Kitsap), but the winds won’t be as strong as Tuesday. Winds will start to calm again by the end of the forecast.
With the cold front moving in, expect cooler temperatures for the start of the week. Highs on Tuesday will reach into the mid 50s for central and north Sound, with temperatures reaching close to 60 down south. Lows will be in the high 40s for north and central Sound, cooling as you move south and over Kitsap. Wednesday will be slightly warmer, with highs in the high 50s to low 60s for the entire Sound.
TL;DR: Cool and wet on Tuesday, kind of cool and not so wet on Wednesday.