We’ve been seeing a little bit more change in the weather, even if it has been in spurts. But the change is starting to happen. We have at least one more batch of hot weather for this weekend it looks like (more details in the next post), but hopefully things will start turning towards fall soon. It’s probably too much to ask for that to happen by the official beginning of fall next Tuesday, but we’ll see how that goes.
Tuesday – High 75°F, Low 62°F; Mostly cloudy in the morning, but that cleared up some by the afternoon, which helped warm things up. Winds were pretty breezy as well throughout the day.
Wednesday – High 73°F; Scattered showers throughout the day, and pretty overcast all day as well with few sun breaks. Winds were calm for the most part, but started to pick up some in the afternoon at times.
WARNINGS – At this point there are no watches or warnings.
FIRES – Fire report as of 09/17/14 10:29am. There is only one fire right now, and it isn’t a bad one. It’s the Fork Peak fire near Centralia, spanning 117 acres and is 30% contained. For more info on the fires, see here, and for a map of the locations, see here.
The trough that has been knocking on our door will actually make its transit overnight and into Thursday. It will move pretty quickly, as by Thursday afternoon the warmer air of a new ridge will already be moving into the area. That may be too little too late for Thursday at least to warm things up, but it should help things on Friday. The ridge will continue to build through Friday, and it looks like it will stick around for at least a few days, but that’s a different forecast.
The low pressure system we saw moving up the coast last time appears to have stalled its northward movement, and will just continue rotating by the north coast of California. By Thursday evening, it will start to weaken and move south, so it shouldn’t affect us too much more. But it did leave a little bit of a disturbance up in our area in conjunction with the weak low that hit us. As the new ridge continues to build on Friday, and new high pressure system will start to move in, clearing away some of that disturbance.
More rain will be moving in tonight and into tomorrow morning. Everyone will get a pretty decent amount, plenty of it to go around. The rest of Thursday look to be mostly clear of rain, with some scattered showers in the mountains, and showers moving into central Sound for the evening. More showers will move in from the northwest on Friday, but by the time it hits the Olympics and northern Islands, that system starts to dissipate. After that, the showers will stick to the mountains, but a lot less than Thursday. The CAPE model is pulling a blank, so no thunderstorms.
Clouds will start to increase overnight, and Thursday is looking to be cloudy all day. Things will try to start to clear up again overnight on Thursday, but more clouds will start to move in from the north for the morning. But if you remember the high pressure from the earlier model, that will be moving in around this time, so it will push away some of these clouds. Friday afternoon will see a bit of sun breaks, but there will still be some clouds here and there.
Here are the 24hr precipitation totals.
Winds will be mostly calm through Thursday, with higher speeds in the Strait. By Friday, the winds will start to increase a little bit in the Sound area due to the clashing of pressures. Winds over the Sound waters with be a little higher, along with in the mountain passes. This will be the case for the majority of the day for Friday.
As I hinted at above, our little cool spell will be coming to an end. Thursday will be cooler only because it doesn’t have enough time for the ridge forming above it to heat up, and with the increase in clouds. Highs will be in the highs 60s for the entire Sound, with the possibility of hitting 70 in the larger metro areas. Lows will be in the high 50s. Friday will see the warm up since the high pressure will push the clouds away and bring in the Sun. Highs will be in the low 70s, with warmer temperatures in south Sound. Lows will be in the high 50s.
TL;DR: A little bit more rain moving in, but Friday will start to see another little heat up. If you don’t mind a few showers, go to the Washington State Fair when there probably won’t be too many people!